Tag Archives: JPMorgan

Jamie Dimon makes a courtesy appearance before the home team

Today, Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan, made his courtesy appearance before the home team, the Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Committee earlier today.

It was, for the most part, a constructive exercise.  Mr. Dimon had been called to explain something alarming, a $2 billion loss due to hedges gone awry in what is essentially the banks internal treasury operations.  Alarming as it may be, the losses fell entirely on the backs of JPMorgan’s shareholders.

It was a stark contrast to the lambasting that Jon Corzine, former bureaucrat and MF Global chief, recieved by committees from both the House and Senate after his firm “lost” $1.6 billion of client funds.  As JPMorgan was the counterparty to the transfer of a portion of those funds, it was only natural that a few questions with regards to the infamous event would find their way to Mr. Dimon today.

Generally, Mr. Dimon gave an impressive show in front of the home team crowd.  As the largest bank on the planet and a Treasury Primary Dealer, JPMorgan may be one of the largest direct and indirect purchasers of US Bond issues.  For the most part, the Senators were kind to their biggest customer.  You can see the entire testimony here.

Some observations from The Mint:

  • Mr. Dimon knows what he is doing.
  • There is a reason that JPM is the banker and/or key liquidity provider of many smaller banks and sovereign nations.
  • It was brought up that loans are the riskiest investments that a bank makes, and JPMorgan is no exception.
  • The term “hedging” is widely misunderstood.  Most take it to mean a trade made to eliminate risk, when in practice hedging has the effect of diversifying a portfolio of investments, often using leverage to do so.
  • Mr. Dimon’s brief response about the need for fewer regulations which are enforced rather that a myriad of regulators which lack expertise and authority was a brilliant appeal to common sense which mostly fell on deaf ears.
  • The US fiscal cliff will not wait until December 31, 2012 to produce derogatory effects for the economy.  Individuals and businesses will begin to take actions to protect themselves long before the deadline approaches.
  • One of the Senators observed that the US Treasury ran a loss of $4 billion per day, twice the amount that Mr. Dimon’s firm had lost on its renegade trades.
  • Most of the Senators, while well intentioned, are absolutely clueless about the inner workings of a modern banking entity.  Which begs the question, what qualifies them to regulate one?
  • JPMorgan is not to big to fail, rather, it is too big to save were it to fail.
  • One cannot apply the hedging and investment strategies of the world’s largest bank to the entire banking industry.
  • JPMorgan is in a league of its own, and thus is required to take risks on the scale that is difficult to fathom.
  • Mr. Dimon places little faith in financial models, which at best are a reflection of the immediate past and generally useless for future decision making.
  • New regulation costs as a result of the legislation inspired by the financial crisis for JPMorgan were estimated to be upwards of $1 billion.
  • It is not below the Senate to play the “US Taxpayer is on the hook” card when speaking with a banker, incorrectly implying that the US Taxpayer somehow thought that TARP and everything after was necessary and stands ready to take similar actions should another large bank get into trouble.

Much of the testimony was peppered with the common theme from the Senators which can be summed up in the phrase “how should we regulate you?”

While Mr. Dimon took the opportunity to point out that the so called Volcker rule was a bad idea, which is what has dominated headlines about today’s hearing, He did point out that JPMorgan’s survival was not dependant upon TARP and other bailouts, as has been suggested.

The message?  Don’t regulate us and don’t save us.

In the end, isn’t that what true capitalism is all about?

 

SilverDoctors: Silver Open Interest Drops Slightly to 108,858, Backwardation Holds Steady

Silver’s price manipulated, from $40 to $26 to ???  The blow off is nigh:
http://silverdoctors.blogspot.com/2011/09/silver-open-interest-drops-slightly-to.html?utm_medium=twitter&utm_source=twitterfeed&m=1

72 Hour Call for June 23, 2011

Today’s Call:  Nymex Crude Oil to rise.  Currently $91.92.

Rationale:  Oil was oversold today on the announcement to release 60 million gallons of oil into the global supply from strategic reserves with 30 million gallons coming from the United States reserve.  The 60 million gallons does not even represent one day’s worth of global oil consumption.  In other words, this is a token announcement.  The world has more of a money supply problem than an oil supply problem.  Both are policy problems which will not be soon resolved.  These problems will keep the price of oil in dollar terms on an upward trajectory.

Result of Call for June 20, 2011:  JPMorgan to fall.  Was $40.48., Currently $40.20.  Good Call.

Calls to Date:  Good Calls: 31, Bad Calls: 25, Batting .553

Key Indicators for Thursday, June 23, 2011

Copper Price per Lb: $4.05
Oil Price per Barrel:  $91.92 A FAILURE TO INFLATE

Corn Price per Bushel:  $6.80   MONETARY POLICY IS NOT WORKING
10 Yr US Treasury Bond:  2.91%
FED Target Rate:  0.09%  FED IN PERMANENT DESPERATION MODE

Gold Price Per Ounce:  $1,521 BENEFITING FROM PERMANENT UNCERTAINTY

MINT Perceived Target Rate*:  2.25%
Unemployment Rate:  9.1%
Inflation Rate (CPI):  0.2%
Dow Jones Industrial Average:  12,050
M1 Monetary Base:  $1,895,400,000,000 RED ALERT!!!
M2 Monetary Base:  $9,086,900,000,000 YIKES!!!

*See FED Perceived Economic Effect Rate Chart at bottom of blog.  This rate is the FED Target rate with a 39 month lag, representing the time it takes for the FED Target rate changes to affect the real economy.  This is a 39 months head start that the FED member banks have on the rest of us on using the new money that is created.

72 Hour Call for June 20, 2011

Today’s Call:  JPMorgan to fall.  Currently $40.48.

Rationale:  News today that JPMorgan is being sued by the federal regulators on behalf of the NCUA regarding securities losses at corporate credit unions which failed at the height of the financial crisis.  While $840 million is pocket change to JPMorgan, the resulting hit to their image as well as their loss of the Medicare payment processing business are recent indicators that even they are vulnerable to populist retaliation.

Result of Call for June 15, 2011:  Euro to rise vs US DollarWas $1.44397:1., Currently $1.43001:1€.  Bad Call. 

Calls to Date:  Good Calls: 29, Bad Calls: 24, Batting .547

 Key Indicators for Monday, June 20, 2011

Copper Price per Lb: $4.09
Oil Price per Barrel:  $93.26 A FAILURE TO INFLATE

Corn Price per Bushel:  $7.00   MONETARY POLICY IS NOT WORKING
10 Yr US Treasury Bond:  2.96%
FED Target Rate:  0.10%  FED IN PERMANENT DESPERATION MODE

Gold Price Per Ounce:  $1,540 BENEFITING FROM PERMANENT UNCERTAINTY

MINT Perceived Target Rate*:  2.25%
Unemployment Rate:  9.1%
Inflation Rate (CPI):  0.2%
Dow Jones Industrial Average:  12,080
M1 Monetary Base:  $1,927,300,000,000 RED ALERT!!!
M2 Monetary Base:  $9,015,500,000,000 YIKES!!!

*See FED Perceived Economic Effect Rate Chart at bottom of blog.  This rate is the FED Target rate with a 39 month lag, representing the time it takes for the FED Target rate changes to affect the real economy.  This is a 39 months head start that the FED member banks have on the rest of us on using the new money that is created.