Category Archives: Portland

Ode to the Auto Feo, Part III – Lemon Discovery

8/25/2011 Portland, Oregon – Pop in your mints…

Oh Bank of America, how far you have fallen.  Today, B of A took a hand out that they allegedly do not need from Warren Buffett’s group.  For this ‘unnecessary’ $5 Billion of capital, B of A is paying 6% per year, a higher rate than many Americans are paying on their mortgages.

What a brilliant move, and one that should give equity holders just enough time to get out while they still have some pocket change left.  Brilliant for Buffett, we mean.  For B of A shareholders, it is simply the latest bungle by management who are naturally overwhelmed by the sheer magnitude of the bank’s compost pile that it calls a balance sheet.

Like a compost pile, B of A’s assets should be allowed to disintegrate and be spread around organically to provide fertilizer for enterprises that actually contribute wealth to society.

In its current state, B of A as an entity is not only cannibalizing itself and its shareholders, but also nearly anyone that it comes into contact with.  As such, the term’s of Buffett’s deal have allowed him to go into the toxic mix with a biohazard suit on.  Berkshire should be shielded from the eventual collapse, albeit as a secured creditor.

But enough of B of A’s present woes, we have been relating a personal anecdote which may help readers understand the origins of what will be a spectacular slow motion collapse of B of A. 

At a minimum, we hope you get a laugh at our expense.

You can catch up with the Ode to the Auto Feo, Parts I and II by clicking on the following links. 

Ode to the Auto Feo, Part I –  The Birth of a “Need”

Ode to the Auto Feo, Part II –Optimism and Desperation are Poor Bedfellows

Our story continues:

We climbed into what our delusional mind had now identified as a BMW X5 smiling from ear to ear.  No, it was not perfect but the vehicle was powerful.  It felt like it was reliable and had been well cared for.  Heck, the A/C even worked and had recently been charged!  We were feeling extremely good about our purchase.

That feeling was soon to pass.

No matter that the Iranian had us call his brother to let him know we were purchasing the car.  Presumably it was to arrange a ride home but in retrospect it appears that there was a “family” debt that needed to be settled and the proceeds from the sale were of great interest to the brother.

For our part, we had to call our brother in law to arrange a ride home.  We drove our find back to Portland from Gladstone to pick him up, still in awe of our good fortune. 

Then, it began to fall apart.

The Illusion is Shattered

Not literally, of course, but the mental construction of the BMW X5 and more importantly the vehicle’s reliability were quickly demolished as we watched the oil pressure drop, the check engine light go on, and the temperature gauge quickly approaching the red line.

“What is going on?  This car was working flawlessly until now…”  We thought to ourselves.

“Are we seeing things?”

Our mind attempted to pass it off as an optical illusion.  After rubbing our eyes and focusing our mind, we turned off the A/C and reluctantly turned on the heater on that warm summer evening in a vain effort to regulate the temperature.

Then the car stalled.  In vain, our mind made another attempt, an appeal to the supernatural.

“Perhaps the car is possessed,”

We dutifully exercised our authority in Christ to cast out demons from the lifeless mass of the Isuzu.

The Isuzu, for we would never again see the vehicle through our rose colored glasses, started up and again we were off, albeit at a slower pace and with the heater running.

When we arrived at his house, we were concerned.  Maybe this car wasn’t worth $1,300.  Maybe it is just scrap.  Even so, we held to the hope that, if we could just get the vehicle home, it would serve its purpose to take us the 1.5 miles necessary for our daily commute.  We let the car cool off.

Upon exiting the vehicle, we noticed a small but very important defect that had escaped our eagle eye during the inspection:  The driver side door’s keyhole was a hole, as in, there was space where one would normally expect to insert the key. 

Now we were flabbergasted.  All of the other defects were somehow excusable because for the most part they had been invisible and had for whatever reason not manifested themselves during our inspection.  This one, under the circumstances, was humiliating.

Oh, how we wish we had heeded the spousal veto!

We went to the front door of our brother in law’s house a mere shadow of the conquering hero we had been just 30 minutes before.

We felt we had just thrown $1,300 down the drain.  It was not so much the sum that bothered us as the fact that we had allowed ourselves to become enamored with the vehicle and in the process had allowed ourselves to be blinded to its obvious faults.

After twenty minutes chatting with our sister, enough to let the vehicle cool down, we were off to Gladstone.  The sun had long since set and the blackness matched our darkening mood.

Our brother in law attempted to cheer us up. 

“This is a great car!  You don’t really need the lock on the door and once you get it home, it should serve its purpose.”

His words of encouragement sustained us for the next painful part of our all night journey, bringing home our error in judgment to show to our loving, supportive, and rightfully skeptical wife.

We doubt such fear struck the board of Bank of America as they reported Countrywide Financials mortally wounded loan portfolio to their shareholders for the first time.

 Stay tuned and Trust Jesus.

Stay Fresh!

David Mint

Email: davidminteconomics@gmail.com

Key Indicators for August 25, 2011

Copper Price per Lb: $4.08
Oil Price per Barrel:  $85.06

Corn Price per Bushel:  $7.30  
10 Yr US Treasury Bond:  2.24%

FED Target Rate:  0.08%  ON AUTOPILOT, THE FED IS DEAD!

Gold Price Per Ounce:  $1,759 PERMANENT UNCERTAINTY

MINT Perceived Target Rate*:  2.00%
Unemployment Rate:  9.1%
Inflation Rate (CPI):  0.5%!!!   UP 0.7% IN ONE MONTH, 8.4% ANNUALLY AT THIS PACE!!!
Dow Jones Industrial Average:  11,207  TO THE MOON!!!

M1 Monetary Base:  $2,033,000,000,000 RED ALERT!!!
M2 Monetary Base:  $9,478,200,000,000 YIKES!!!!!!!

Ode to the Auto Feo, Part II – Optimism and Desperation are Poor Bedfellows

8/24/2011 Portland, Oregon – Pop in your mints…

Today we will continue the saga of the auto feo.  If you missed part I, please click here to get up to speed.  It shouldn’t be difficult as the auto feo is currently at a dead stop.

But first, a quick look at the markets.  At this point in the day, everything appears to be literally on hold until the FED chairman Ben Bernanke speaks at Jackson Hole.  What will he say?  Our guess is not much.  Perhaps some dribble about standing prepared with all necessary tools to fight deflation.  If He were truly to use his post for something useful, He would encourage Congress to recapitalize US households, not banks.

Speaking of banks, Bank of America seems intent on claiming that they are in no need of capital even as they sit on $2 Triilion in assets of an imploding economy.  B of A made perhaps the worst choices of all time when they paid a premium for Countrywide and Merrill Lynch.  They may not have had much choice in the matter given the carte blanche that regulators had during the panic of 2007-2008.  Whatever the case, they are now choking on the sewage of the above mentioned entities.

Citigroup, on the other hand, may need another reverse split sooner than they think.  With that said, we return to our personal story of a bad acquisition.

We left our story yesterday arriving at our rendezvous with the then owner of what would soon become our next “Auto Feo.”  As we pulled into the parking lot of a large supermarket, nature called.  Not seeing the vehicle which we were to inspect, we entered the supermarket to tend to our personal needs.  As we were exiting the supermarket, we received a call from the owner, announcing his arrival.

Our pulse quickened.

We exited and there it was!  A black beauty of an SUV.  At that moment, as the sun began to set over the horizon, the 1993 Isuzu looked like a late model BMW X5.  We were about to make the bargain of the century.

Astute readers will note that what we saw that evening was a mirage, born out of the dangerous mix of optimism and desperation that was moving in our body to inhibit our ability to make an informed decision.  We can only assume the same was true when B of A was looking over Countrywide Financial in late 2007.

We met the man, an Iranian, who promptly handed us the keys as we hopped in for a test drive.  As the engine roared to life, we were able to overlook the cracks in the windshield and somewhat soiled interior.  After all, it is a ’93, we thought.

As we proceeded around the block, never exceeding 40mph, we were impressed.  “This is a solid vehicle,” we complimented the owner.

A Solid Vehicle Indeed!

“Yes,” he replied, “we purchased it from a family friend and it has been our family car for five years.  We have maintained it and most recently replaced the clutch.  It was very expensive.  In Iran, a clutch costs you $200, here, $800.  We have a better car now.”

A new clutch!  We thought.  What a steal.  We bonded with the man as we spoke of our children and family life.  This was no longer a negotiation, it became a matter of honor.  As we parked the vehicle, there was only one hope for us.

The spousal veto.

For those of you who have never been married, this is commonly known as “running the idea by our wife,” which in most cases can save one from making a bad decision or fending off persistent salesmen.

Excusing ourselves, for it seemed an unnecessary step when we were obviously getting a BMW X5 for a mere $1,350, we made the call. 

Our wife was predictably skeptical. 

“Don’t you want to see other options?” 

We assured her that this was the best deal out there. 

“It’s not that urgent, come home and sleep on it and see how you feel about it in the morning.” 

Out of the question, I did not want to waste another trip to Vancouver or Gladstone just to pass on a car.

Again, astute readers will recognize this last objection as the sunk cost fallacy.  We, of course, did not.

“Well, if you are sure…”

And with that, our loving, ever supportive wife relenting gave her approval of the purchase and the deal was done.

We went back to the Iranian and, with an unintentional pause before speaking, extracted a $50 reduction in the vehicle’s price.

At $1,300, the deal was done.  And almost immediately, our problems began…

Stay tuned and Trust Jesus.

Stay Fresh!

David Mint

Email: davidminteconomics@gmail.com

Key Indicators for August 24, 2011

Copper Price per Lb: $4.01
Oil Price per Barrel:  $85.72

Corn Price per Bushel:  $7.31  
10 Yr US Treasury Bond:  2.25%

FED Target Rate:  0.09%  ON AUTOPILOT, THE FED IS DEAD!

Gold Price Per Ounce:  $1,753 PERMANENT UNCERTAINTY

MINT Perceived Target Rate*:  2.00%  EASIEST MONEY EVER COMING IN JAN 2012!!!
Unemployment Rate:  9.1%
Inflation Rate (CPI):  0.5%!!!   UP 0.7% IN ONE MONTH, 8.4% ANNUALLY AT THIS PACE!!!
Dow Jones Industrial Average:  11,232  TO THE MOON!!!

M1 Monetary Base:  $2,033,000,000,000 RED ALERT!!!
M2 Monetary Base:  $9,478,200,000,000 YIKES!!!!!!!

Ode to the Auto Feo, Part I – The Birth of a “Need”

8/23/2011 Portland, Oregon – Pop in your mints…

Apart from earthquakes on the US East coast and Colorado all appears calm relative to the past two weeks.  Ben Bernanke is scheduled to speak in Jackson Hole today which may or may not change that.  As we have stated recently, with the FED’s most recent announcement of its intention to hold its funds rate below 0.25% until at least 2013, they essentially told the world that they were stepping back to let the chips fall where they may.

With the fate of the US dollar apparently sealed, we have a personal anecdote to share.  Like central banking, this is for entertainment purposes only.

A little over a year ago, our second car, which we affectionately call the “Auto Feo” (Spanish for “ugly car”) died.  It was a vehicle which had been struck by another vehicle on the passenger side, denting the wheel well.  The damage was cosmetic and only noticeable when one opened the passenger door, causing a horrendous sound of metal crushing metal.  While driving, the car would “bark” (as in, it sounded like a dog was after us) if the front wheel on the passenger side hit a sizeable bump, causing the tire to rub against the crimped wheel well.

The car served its purpose until the automatic transmission went out.  Even then, we were able to salvage a year of commuter service out of it before the transmission had a catastrophic failure, after which we finally took it to the junk yard.

Without much time to mourn, we set our sights on finding a replacement for the Auto Feo.

Based on a previous good experience, we wanted an Isuzu Trooper or Rodeo, any model year that could be had for $1,300 or less.  After passing on what in retrospect was the best option at the time (a 1995 Trooper) we were eager, perhaps too eager, to not let the next opportunity pass us by.

The Auto Feo - One vehicle, many lessons

We were ready to be taken for a ride, literally, figuratively, and with a pun intended in the worst possible way.

After doing our due diligence by surfing Craigslist, we found a 1993 Isuzu Rodeo with 143,000 miles on it which the owner was selling for the incredibly low price of $1,350.  We were intrigued.  In retrospect, we were sold before even driving the vehicle.  A dangerous frame of mind when one considers Craigslist’s non-existent vetting of sellers.  (Editor’s note:  We are not criticizing Craigslist, which offers a tremendous service, but rather our own lack of diligence.)

We were foolish, impatient, and determined.  It is a dangerous frame of mind to be in when making any purchase and a deadly combination of states of being when trolling the internet for a used vehicle.

As the warning lights in our mind began to go off, we pressed on.  We called the number and arranged to “see” (read “purchase” as it should have obvious that our mind was made up) the vehicle that very evening.

It was a warm early summer evening, pleasant in every way.  The wind was at our back, traffic was smooth as we wound our way across Portland to Gladstone.  What could possibly go wrong?

As we approached the rendezvous with our mystery seller, we were relaxed, optimistic, and the epitome of P.T. Barnum’s sucker…

Stay tuned and Trust Jesus.

Stay Fresh!

David Mint

Email: davidminteconomics@gmail.com

Key Indicators for August 23, 2011

Copper Price per Lb: $4.00
Oil Price per Barrel:  $85.77

Corn Price per Bushel:  $7.30  
10 Yr US Treasury Bond:  2.14%

FED Target Rate:  0.09%  ON AUTOPILOT, THE FED IS DEAD!

Gold Price Per Ounce:  $1,830 PERMANENT UNCERTAINTY

MINT Perceived Target Rate*:  2.00%
Unemployment Rate:  9.1%
Inflation Rate (CPI):  0.5%!!!   UP 0.7% IN ONE MONTH, 8.4% ANNUALLY AT THIS PACE!!!
Dow Jones Industrial Average:  11,177  TO THE MOON!!!

M1 Monetary Base:  $2,033,000,000,000 RED ALERT!!!
M2 Monetary Base:  $9,478,200,000,000 YIKES!!!!!!!

Lavender Festival Helvetia

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If purple is your color, you simply can’t resist the scent of lavender, or you just want to have some good, clean fun on a perfect summer weekend, the Oregon Lavender Festival at the Helvetia Lavender Farm is right up your alley.

The event at the Helvetia Lavender Farm is part of the larger Oregon Lavender Festival which takes place at lavender farms all over the region.

Located at 12814 NW Bishop Road in Hillsboro, the Helvetia Lavender Farm is a combination lavender and Christmas tree farm which sits on rolling hills offering a spectacular setting for the fields of purple.  The farm boasts over 60 varieties of lavender and is run by Don and Nancy Miller.  Each year, the Miller family turns their farm into a celebration of all things purple for one weekend in July.

Naturally, the main attraction of the festival is the lavender, and a great deal of time is spent roaming the fields and gathering bunches to take home.  Beyond the purple star of the show, the festival features live music on the lawn, tea service in the pavilion, arts, crafts and games for kids, and Helvetia Tavern’s famous hamburgers.

With a line-up like this, the Oregon Lavender Festival Helvetia Lavender Farm has something for everyone.

Perhaps the most remarkable part of the festival, however, is that the proceeds from the event go to support Good Samaritan Ministries, which, headquartered in Beaverton, has ministries in over 37 countries.  The proceeds from the Lavender farm help to support widows and orphans in the Ukraine and Uganda.

Fields full of fragrant lavender, a full slate of events, and all to support a great cause.  What better way to spend a summer day in the Willamette valley?

To get to the Helvetia Lavender Farm from the Portland Metro area, take Highway 26 West to Helvetia Rd. (Exit 61), turn right on to Helvetia Road, go north 4 miles to Bishop Road, about one mile past the Helvetia Tavern, turn right on Bishop Road, then take the 2nd driveway to the right and follow the signs for parking.

Rasta Farmer

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Lavender Festival Helvetia

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The Trophy Wife

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Spotted today at NW 9th and Couch. For the moment I am in awe. An urban art masterpiece!

Art on the Harlow Block – The Woodpecker

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Next up as one strolls Glisan in the Fire Engine red color which dominates this motif is the woodpecker. While each piece on the block shares a common color theme and for the most part size, the subject matter of each is unique enough that we may be witnessing the work of not one but several urban artists working in concert with one another.

What do you think? Please comment below!

Signs of Life on the Harlow Block

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More Urban Art at the Harlow Block. A silouette of Sir Tophamhat of Thomas the Tank Engine fame, perhaps? A plume of angry smoke? Only the artist knows for sure!

Happy Fourth of July from The Mint

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Signs of life at the Harlow Block – The Bat

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These days a stroll by the Harlow Block at the corner of NW Glisan and 8th is like turning the pages of a scary childrens book.

Painted wooden forms grace the
plywood canvas that too long has defined the facade of this overlooked gem in the Pearl.

The first page features a bat which lets the reader know that this unique display of urban art will follow a nocturnal theme.

The Harlow Block gets a Facelift

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The Harlow Block, located at Glisan and NW 8th at the Northern end of the Park Blocks has sat shuttered and abandoned for as long as we can remember. It is a stark reminder that urban renewal occurs in fits and starts and can leave some buildings frozen in time.

We detected signs of life today outside of this once proud structure in the form of wooden artforms gracing the plywood which one normally encounters on a stroll up Glisan.

What does it mean?

Stay tuned and Stay Fresh!

“Gone” Breathes Life into the U.S. Custom House Block

The U.S. Custom House has sat magnificently vacant since its last tenant, the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, vacated it nearly five years ago.

This grand old building, which graces the block surrounded by NW Broadway, Park, Davis and Everett streets, was declared unfit for service.  Ironically, the very thing that makes the building magnificent, its timeless masonry, makes it especially vulnerable to an earthquake.

The U.S. Custom House is a beautiful example of Italian Renaissance Revival style of architecture.  It was built in 1897 by the architect Edgar M. Lazarus and was beautifully restored in 1992.  Since May of 2010, the Federal Government has been searching for a buyer for this gem in the pearl.  While the building initially allures would be buyers with its stately exterior, up until now none has been able to stomach the roughly $10 million estimated cost of retrofitting it to withstand an earthquake.

And so it sits, a beautiful, lonely museum piece.

The musuem was brought to life one year later.  During the month of May 2011, the normally stoic U.S. Custom House became the center of a flurry of activity.

First came the cables, which began to across the sidewalks,up the walls, and into the windows of the Custom House from all sides.  Next, the lights, generators, and scaffolding were installed.  Was the long awaited retrofit about to begin?

Then appeared the costume trucks and the catering vans.  Lights, camera, action!  The set of “Gone“, a thriller written by Allison Burnett, directed by Heitor Dhalia, and starring Amanda Seyfried, Jennifer Carpenter and Wes Bentley, had taken shape right under the nose of the inhabitants of Old Town China Town.

Action on the set of "Gone" filmed at the U.S. Custom House

When the last of the cast a crew support vehicles took their familiar places at NW Sixth and Davis, the suspicions were confirmed.  The U.S. Custom House was to be a star on the silver screen.  The month of May saw countless extras roaming the streets of Old Town and generally breathing much needed life into the neighborhood.

Then, as quickly as they had appeared, the support vehicles pulled away, the power cables slithered out of the building and the booms were put away.  “Gone” was…gone.

Do not despair!  “Gone” is set to give chills to audiences across the nation in February of 2012.  Will one of those viewers, upon seeing this Gem in the Pearl, have the vision to transform the U.S. Custom House from dormancy into a functional, modern, and vibrant space?

Pine Offspring

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A mature pine overlooks its offspring in Commonwealth Park.

Mother Duck Tending Her Young

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A mother duck tends to her young on an early spring day in Commonwealth Park.

Da Tung & Xi’an Bao Bao

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Da Tung & Xi’an Bao Bao which is loosely translated as “Universal Peace & a Baby Elephant” stands in the middle of the park block at Burnside & 8th avenues in Downtown Portland, Oregon.

The statue, dedicated in 2002, is a 16:1 scale replica of a wine pitcher dated from the Shang Dynasty.

The baby elephant riding peacefully on its Father’s back is a symbol of a prosperous offspring.

Bill Bonner of the Daily Reckoning has been writing recently about a concept that He calls “Compound effort over time” which you can read here:

http://dailyreckoning.com/compound-effort-over-time/

and a follow up piece He calls “Generations of Wealth” here:

http://dailyreckoning.com/generations-of-wealth/

At The Mint, we love the concept and think this statue captures the concept in a delightful imagery.

Who can argue with baby elephants?

The Beaverton Community Band Performs Tuxedo Junction at May 7th Farmers Market

The Beaverton Community Band Performing at May 7, 2011 Farmers Market

Today we were strolling through Farmers Market in Beaverton and came upon the Beaverton Community Band Performing for the crowd. We caught a bootleg snippet of part of their rendition of “Tuxedo Junction.” Click here to listen: Tuxedo Junction Snippet Bootleg

The horns start about five seconds in. Enjoy!