Category Archives: Strategy

Smurfing

As a treasury professional, we have more than a passing interest in money laundering schemes.  For the unitiated, money laundering schemes are generally designed to make money earned through illegal activities, such as trafficking illegal drugs, appear as if it were earned legitimately, allowing it to freely navigate the financial system.

A great deal of the bureaucracy inherent in the banking system is an attempt to thwart would be money launderers.  In the process, they make nearly everyone with a bank account a suspect.

One of the bureaucratic tools employed to nab money launderers is the SAS, or Suspicious Activity Report.  This is why your banker wants to see your identification when you withdraw or deposit a large sum of cash, even though they have known you for years.  The technical threshold for filing such reports is $10,000, but the bankers are further instructed to file an SAS whenever a deposit or withdrawl deviates from a client’s regular modus operandi.

This brings us to Smurfing.  the term came to us via yet another informative report generously provided by Stratfor.  Smurfing is the act of depositing a large amount of cash in amounts under $10,000 overseveral days and/or across several financial institutions for the purpose of avoiding an SAS.  It is ineffective, for sure, yet it is technically a viable money laundering tactic.

The other money laundering technique described in the report (which can be read by clicking the link below) is much more interesting.  It involves money being transferred to China from the US in exchange for appliances which and other goods which are shipped to Mexico and then sold.

The War on Drugs has made drug trafficking so profitable that even it is working as a bizarre sort of stimulus!

The point of the Stratfor report is to highlight the fact that there is an increased incidence of both drug trafficking and money laundering activity now that the US Feds have cracked down on the manufacture of methanphetamines in the 50 states.  This report discusses the results of the law enforcement operation “Dark Angel.” 

However, as the author points out, the lessons learned from Dark Angel may reveal more about money laundering techniques than they do about meth trafficking.

If this is what Stratfor provides for free email subscribers, we can only imagine the insights that a paid subscription would provide.  Their analysis is insgihtful and borders on brilliant.

Without further ado, the report by Ben West:

Dark Angel and the Mexican Meth Connection via Stratfor

Is Greece European? By Robert D. Kaplan | Stratfor

With Greece predominantly in the headlines for its fiscal woes, this insightful report by Robert Kaplan explores the historical roots of Greece’s economic problems as well as its unique strategic advantage owed to its geographic location.

Is Greece European?

It can be a long road from political extremism and nepotism to a moderate political center, and this past weekend’s elections have shown that it is a road which Greece may not continue down, no matter how much prodding it gets from the increasingly desperate EU.

Greece, Inc. is now for sale.  Its new management is preparing a list of demands for its current creditors, the Troika.  If those demands are not met, Greece, Inc., which enjoys a prime geographical location, will prod its shareholders to accept an offer from the highest bidder, likely to be either Russia and/or China.

From Olympic sized overspending to the aftermath of the recent world wars, Kaplan does a fine job of presenting Greece’s history as a framework for understanding its current situation.

The report can be seen in its entirety via Stratfor:

Is Greece European? via Stratfor

The End of Counterinsurgency and the Scalable Force | Stratfor

This particular report focuses on the failure of the United States’ recent nation building strategy which has relied on counterinsurgency operations.  It also explores what viable defense strategy may take its place, namely, the broader use of specialized, highly mobile and scalable units to defend key geographical areas which are vulnerable to highly motivated and increasingly well equipped non-state actors.

It is a fascinating look at the logical evolution of US defense strategy as it retools itself to better and more effectively meet increasingly global security demands.  Via Stratfor:

The End of Counterinsurgency and the Scalable Force

Putin’s Evolving Strategy in Europe | Stratfor

As Vladimir Putin takes the reigns once again (in truth, he never really gave them up) as Russia’s President, he faces a new European landscape, one in which He will navigate without the benefit of the personal alliances which were the core of his European strategy during his first two terms.  Read more in this fascinating analysis by Stratfor:

Putin’s Evolving Strategy in Europe

The Egyptian Election and the Arab Spring | Stratfor

On how Westerners have misintepreted the Arab Spring uprisings using the example of recent Egyptian elections, from Stratfor:

The Egyptian Election and the Arab Spring