Tag Archives: Commodities

Economics, Freedom, Politics, The Mint

Disturbing economic trends continue into 2012

1/9/2012 Portland, Oregon – Pop in your mints…

2012 has gotten off to a relatively uneventful start on all fronts.  Stock and Bond markets continue on autopilot and are completely underwritten by central banks at this point.  Commodity prices seem to be following the inflationary path that the central banks support of the stock and bond markets has set them on.  Meanwhile, productivity, real output, appears stable and poised to climb, which should further fuel inflation as the money supply begins to overwhelm the supply of real goods and labor.

The assault on civil liberties continues.  The United States surrendered its status as a free country when it approved the NDAA, assuring that they government could detain anyone, anywhere, for as long as they want, without ever having to produce charges.

 

 

 

Finally, widespread corruption continues unabated.  Officials at MF Global are still loose after robbing $1.2 billion of client funds in a desperate attempt to stave off a margin call which brought down the firm as the CME washed its hands of the situation, leaving traders everywhere wondering if their univested brokerage funds are safe or even truly exist.

Now, from Switzerland, the bastion of financial morality, comes word that the wife of Philipp Hildebrand, now former Chairman of its central bank, made a substantial purchase of US Dollars just weeks before her husband and his colleagues shocked the world by surrendering the Swiss franc to the same fate as the doomed Euro.  Coincidence?  It would appear not.

 

The Swiss National Bank Courtesy of Baikonur

 

In short, there is nothing in the data to disprove the hypothesis that the world’s financial system and by default the nations which are currently charged with it are headed to hell in a hand basket. 

This, fellow taxpayers, should be cause for hope.  For only when it is acutely understood by all involved the incredible destruction which is being wrought every single day by the current, insane, “debt is money” financial system under which we live, can things finally begin to get better.

 

We hope and pray that the day of collective acute understanding is near, and that the transition to a new system passes peacefully.

 

Stay tuned and Trust Jesus.

Stay Fresh!

David Mint

Email: davidminteconomics@gmail.com

Key Indicators for January 9, 2012

Copper Price per Lb: $3.39
Oil Price per Barrel:  $101.40

Corn Price per Bushel:  $6.52  
10 Yr US Treasury Bond:  1.96%
FED Target Rate:  0.07%  ON AUTOPILOT, THE FED IS DEAD!

Gold Price Per Ounce:  $1,611 PERMANENT UNCERTAINTY

MINT Perceived Target Rate*:  2.00%
Unemployment Rate:  8.5%
Inflation Rate (CPI):  0.0%
Dow Jones Industrial Average:  11,995  

M1 Monetary Base:  $2,290,800,000,000 RED ALERT!!!  THE ANIMALS ARE LEAVING THE ZOO!!!
M2 Monetary Base:  $9,718,900,000,000 YIKES UP $1 Trillion in one year!!!!!!!

Economics, Events, Politics, The Mint, Uncategorized

John Corzine Testifies to a Congressional Panel on MF Global Collapse

12/8/2011 Portland, Oregon – Pop in your mints…

Today the world witnessed one of the most surreal spectacles that we can imagine.  John Corzine, former CEO of MF Global, the Primary Dealer which went bankrupt on October 31st and is now missing $1.2 billion of client funds, was called on to testify by a group of men in the US Congress who are trying to understand what went wrong and how they can prevent it from occuring again.

You can see the agonizing hearing in all of its glory by clicking the link below.  Our humble observations:

1.  Neither Mr. Corzine or Congress said anything that should give any measure of confidence to participants in the global financial markets.

2.  Mr. Corzine is sorry this happened.

3.  One of the members of the panel stated the obvious “we got to find that money.”  Understatement of the year.

4.  Mr. Corzine is so confident that the client funds will be recovered that he mumbled, after being pressed by a member of the panel, that he and the other executives would personally reimburse clients in the event that it wasn’t (NOT!)

5.  Questions about the Federal Reserve’s ability to properly vet firms who are qualified to be Primary Dealers.

We didn’t know whether to laugh or cry.  Mr. Corzine looked like a large elf from the camera angle and the members of congress, in most cases, sounded less than up to the task of understanding what happened, much less being able to craft legislation which would prevent a similar event in the future.

It was like watching political professional wrestling.  The entertainment value was fairly high, excitement filled the room, but it left you wondering if what you saw was real or simply scripted and well acted by all involved.

All in all, it was a synopsis of the level corruption and ignorance that grace the halls of power in America circa 2011.

See the entire sorry spectacle courtesy of C-Span:  http://www.c-span.org/Events/Fmr-Senator-Corzine-to-Testify-in-MF-Global-Investigation/10737426111-1/

Perhaps now the Farmer and the Cowman will befriend each other, grab their pitchforks, and storm capital hill until their $1.2 billion is returned.

Stay tuned and Trust Jesus.

Stay Fresh!

David Mint

Email: davidminteconomics@gmail.com

Key Indicators for December 8, 2011

Copper Price per Lb: $3.49
Oil Price per Barrel:  $98.57

Corn Price per Bushel:  $5.90  
10 Yr US Treasury Bond:  1.97%
FED Target Rate:  0.08%  ON AUTOPILOT, THE FED IS DEAD!

Gold Price Per Ounce:  $1,706 PERMANENT UNCERTAINTY

MINT Perceived Target Rate*:  2.00%
Unemployment Rate:  8.6%
Inflation Rate (CPI):  -0.1%
Dow Jones Industrial Average:  11,998  

M1 Monetary Base:  $2,255,500,000,000 RED ALERT!!!  THE ANIMALS ARE LEAVING THE ZOO!!!
M2 Monetary Base:  $9,623,700,000,000 YIKES UP $1 Trillion in one year!!!!!!!

Economics, Gold, Silver, The Mint

Reports of the FED as “Only” Lender of US Dollars, The Definition of a System Collapse

9/28/2011 Portland, Oregon – Pop in your mints…

We have taken a small breather here at The Mint.  What has occurred in the past week simply boggles the mind.  Precious metals have taken a beating and it is our guess that they will continue through tomorrow.  The most interesting reasoning for the drop in Gold and Silver that we have heard is that there will be an announcement on October 4th limiting short positions on the COMEX.

Guess who has a huge short position in silver that needs to be covered this week?  JP Morgan, to the tune of 121 million ounces.  We can only guess at the machinations but needless to say, it would be very convenient for them to be able to cover their positions at a discount.  Hence the increase in margin requirements at the COMEX last Friday which has shaken out the weak long positions this week.

Across the board in commodities, current prices reflect a rush to cash, not changing fundamentals.

Some interesting reading on the current, sorry state of employment in the US from US News:

15 Stunning Statistics About the Job Market

It is much worse than most imagine.

Other than that, chaos is reigning as the dollar funding markets for banks in Europe are apparently non-existent.  As September 30, 2011 approaches, banks are holding on to cash in the absence of clear direction from the Eurozone as to how they intend to bail out their large institutions.

In the meantime, the FED has apparently opened up swap lines (read printing presses) to provide dollars to these banks.  According to a report that we saw from Bloomberg, the FED has gone from its role as the lender of last resort to a role as the lender of ONLY resort.

We take this to mean that nobody is willing to lend US Dollars at any price to the largest banking institutions in the world.

Does this indicate that, at long last, the US Dollar system has technically collapsed?

Stay tuned and Trust Jesus.

Stay Fresh!

David Mint

Email: davidminteconomics@gmail.com

Key Indicators for September 28, 2011

Copper Price per Lb: $3.21
Oil Price per Barrel:  $79.95

Corn Price per Bushel:  $6.30  
10 Yr US Treasury Bond:  2.00%
FED Target Rate:  0.08%  ON AUTOPILOT, THE FED IS DEAD!

Gold Price Per Ounce:  $1,610 PERMANENT UNCERTAINTY

MINT Perceived Target Rate*:  2.00%
Unemployment Rate:  9.1%
Inflation Rate (CPI):  0.4%!!!   UP UP UP!!!
Dow Jones Industrial Average:  11,011  

M1 Monetary Base:  $2,010,000,000,000 RED ALERT!!!
M2 Monetary Base:  $9,541,800,000,000 YIKES!!!!!!!

72 Hour Call

72 Hour Call for June 3, 2011

Today’s Call:  Caterpillar (CAT) to fall.  Currently $101.10

Rationale:  Caterpillar has risen dramatically over the past year.  The sudden downturn in economic indicators and commodity prices will mute demand for its products which will reflect in a share price that drifts quietly downwards through the summer months.

Result of Call for May 31, 2011:  GSG Commodity Index to rise.  Was $36.38, Currently $36.05.  Bad Call. 

Calls to Date:  Good Calls: 24, Bad Calls: 18, Batting .571

72 Hour Call

72 Hour Call for May 31, 2011

Today’s Call:  GSG Commodity Index to rise.  Currently $36.38.

Rationale – Renewed flight to out of financial assets to acquire tangible goods due to continued uncertainty.

Result of Call for May 25, 2011:  Euro to fall vs. USD.  Was $1.4076:1€, Currently $1.4282:1€.  Bad Call.  We are coming to the conclusion that the USD/EUR rate may be impossible to call on a short term basis.

Calls to Date:  Good Calls: 22, Bad Calls: 17, Batting .564