Tag Archives: Corn

A Debt Deal is Struck, America further Seals Her Fate

8/2/2011 Portland, Oregon – Pop in your mints…

After a long absence, we offer a brief Mint.  As the entire financial world knows, the US Government decided to go deeper into debt to the tune of $2.4 Trillion.  Something was mentioned about spending cuts but they are inconsequential and probably will never materialize.

America continues to march towards Her Imperial destiny, as Bill Bonner of the Daily Reckoning has been expounding upon recently:

“The US is now conducting war-like operations in at least six different countries. The problem, of course, is that it is ruinously expensive. In all of history no empire has been able to resist the urge to overdo it…to commit suicide – either by military or financial “overstretch.” In America’s case, it does both.

The cost of maintaining the empire…fully loaded…is about $1.2 trillion a year. That’s the Pentagon, the Department of Homeland Security, fortified embassies – everything. Take it away, and the US budget is almost in balance.

But Washington won’t seriously cut military spending.  Why not?  It’s the way destiny works.  First, she disarms you of your critical intelligence.  And they she shoots you in the back of the head.

An empire continues until it drops.  It does not back up.  It does not reconsider its mission – not until it is forced to.  How is it forced to?  In the usual way…it runs out of money…”

Yes, it appears that America is intent upon losing its place as the leading private security agency on the planet, for as a practical matter, that is all that what we frequently refer to as nations are.  More on that to come.

Stay tuned and Trust Jesus.

Stay Fresh!

David Mint

Email: davidminteconomics@gmail.com

P.S.  Don’t believe what you read about the Nebraska corn harvest, it will be just fine and as abundant as ever!

Key Indicators for August 2, 2011

Copper Price per Lb: $4.36
Oil Price per Barrel:  $93.33

Corn Price per Bushel:  $7.11
10 Yr US Treasury Bond:  2.62%
FED Target Rate:  0.17%  TIGHTENING?  NOT!

Gold Price Per Ounce:  $1,660 PERMANENT UNCERTAINTY

MINT Perceived Target Rate*:  2.00%
Unemployment Rate:  9.2%
Inflation Rate (CPI):  -0.2%!!!  PULL OUT THE HELICOPTERS!!!
Dow Jones Industrial Average:  11,866  TO THE MOON!!!
M1 Monetary Base:  $1,937,200,000,000 RED ALERT!!!
M2 Monetary Base:  $9,260,300,000,000 YIKES!!!!!!!

*See the MINT Perceived target Rate Chart.  This rate is the FED Target rate with a 39 month lag, representing the time it takes for the FED Target rate changes to affect the real economy.  This is a 39 months head start that the FED member banks have on the rest of us on using the new money that is created.

72 Hour Call for June 14, 2011

Today’s Call:  US Dollar Index to fall.  Currently 74.44.

Rationale:  It appears that the march out of US Treasuries and into cash has begun.  Big banks really have no choice.  With the US political establishment in gridlock on the debt ceiling there is now growing principal risk in holding US Treasuries.  Without the prospect of further debt expansion to mop up all of the excess cash in the system in the short term, the Fed is resorting to the tactic of deflationary propaganda in a futile attempt to quell inflationary pressures.

Result of Call for June 9, 2011:  July Corn Price Per Bushel to rise.  Was $7.85-4, Currently $7.55-4.  Bad Call. 

Calls to Date:  Good Calls: 28, Bad Calls: 21, Batting .571

Key Indicators for Tuesday, June 14, 2011

Copper Price per Lb: $4.16
Oil Price per Barrel:  $99.43

Corn Price per Bushel:  $7.55
10 Yr US Treasury Bond:  3.10%
FED Target Rate:  0.10%  FED STILL IN DESPERATION MODE

Gold Price Per Ounce:  $1,524

MINT Perceived Target Rate*:  2.25%
Unemployment Rate:  9.1%
Inflation Rate (CPI):  0.4%
Dow Jones Industrial Average:  12,076
M1 Monetary Base:  $2,022,700,000,000 RED ALERT!!!
M2 Monetary Base:  $9,005,800,000,000 STARTING TO DRY UP?  NOT!

*See FED Perceived Economic Effect Rate Chart at bottom of blog.  This rate is the FED Target rate with a 39 month lag, representing the time it takes for the FED Target rate changes to affect the real economy.  This is a 39 months head start that the FED member banks have on the rest of us on using the new money that is created.

72 Hour Call for June 9, 2011

Today’s Call:  July Corn Price Per Bushel to rise.  Currently $7.85-4.

Rationale:  USDA Report released today revealed the expected corn surplus to be 23% less than already low expectations.  This will cause tremendous price pressure up and down the food chain.  Corn is to food production what oil is to manufacturing.  As such, we have decided to add it to our Key indicators.

Result of Call for June 6, 2011:  Bank of America (BAC) to rise.  Was $10.83, Currently $10.65.  Bad Call. 

Calls to Date:  Good Calls: 27, Bad Calls: 19, Batting .587

Key Indicators for Thursday, June 9, 2011

Copper Price per Lb: $4.09
Oil Price per Barrel:  $101.86

Corn Price per Bushel:  $7.85
10 Yr US Treasury Bond:  3.00%
FED Target Rate:  0.09%  FED STILL IN DESPERATION MODE

Gold Price Per Ounce:  $1,544

MINT Perceived Target Rate*:  2.25%
Unemployment Rate:  9.1%
Inflation Rate (CPI):  0.4%
Dow Jones Industrial Average:  12,124
M1 Monetary Base:  $2,022,700,000,000 RED ALERT!!!
M2 Monetary Base:  $9,005,800,000,000 STARTING TO DRY UP?  NOT

 *See FED Perceived Economic Effect Rate Chart at bottom of blog.  This rate is the FED Target rate with a 39 month lag, representing the time it takes for the FED Target rate changes to affect the real economy.  This is a 39 months head start that the FED member banks have on the rest of us on using the new money that is created.

72 Hour Call for May 20, 2011

Today’s Call: Gold to Rise.  Currently $1,514.70.

Rationale – Issuance of Google Bonds simply to lock in low yields seen as sign that inflation will pick up, indirectly lifting gold.

Result of Call for May 17, 2011: July Corn to Rise. Was $7.20 per bushel. Currently $7.58. Good Call

Calls to Date: Good Calls: 20, Bad Calls: 13, Batting .606

72 Hour Call for May 17, 2011

Today’s Call:  July Corn to Rise.  Currently $7.20 per bushel.

Rationale – Combined effect of continued inflation pressures and closure of ports due to Mississippi flooding.

Result of Call for May 12, 2011:  10 Yr Bond Yield to Fall (Price to Rise).  Was 3.221%. Currently 3.121%.  Good Call

Calls to Date:  Good Calls: 18, Bad Calls: 12, Batting .600